@ lin: Actually, exports account for approx. 40%, imports

@ lin: Actually, exports account for approx. 40%, imports ~30%. Consequently, net export is ~10%.

For further reference, s. this article: http://www.economist.com/finance/displaystory.cfm?story_id=10429271

I can't tell whether Jonathan Anderson is right or wrong, but his remarks sound quite logical to me.

But your objection is still reasonable for I overlooked that the currency problem will cause exports to sag but imports likely to increase. So this indeed adds some significant upside risk for rising unemployment.
Posted by DB at 2008-04-11 14:46:22
Commented on
1 USD = 6.9966 RMB